The forecast is pretty much working out as expected today as radar is showing a speckling of activity out there around the region from St Joe southwards. The activity is most concentrated from Sedalia to Clinton to Butler which is where this AM I highlighted that rain chances @ 60%. I kept our area in the 30% chance and that seems to be working out based on the current radar activity. Temperatures now are in the 75-80 range and we should stay there for the rest of the day. Overall a great day for a parade! Look at a few of the 10s of thousands that were @ the Old Settlers Parade in Olathe today...

I was doing my best wave!

Tomorrow as this storm in the upper levels of the atmosphere starts to pull away towards the SE of the region the atmosphere aloft will warm up a few more degrees. Right now @ 10K feet the temperature is near 0C...around 32 degrees F...by tomorrow PM the temperature at that level will v=be closer to +7C or around 45F...that change means that the air pockets won't be rising as much with temperatures at the surface closer to 80 or so...so the risk of rain tomorrow looks minimal and with all the blue skies highs should rebound about another 5+ degrees to the 80-85 range in the PM...should be a great day!

No changes are needed to the forecast for MON...highs then should be in the 85-90 range and we'll drop off a bit more on TUE behind one of 2 cooler surges. The most impressive drop will occur WED into THU as a combination of colder air from the north and a flow aloft that may be from the W or SW creating potentially a perfect set-up for cloud cover and rainfall and very chilly temperatures. The issue is WHERE exactly does this set up...the GFS suggests rain could move in on WED and last till SAT...the EURO has rain here developing on THU and lasting till SUN in various ways. So the trends right now favor a wetter 2-3 days down the road. My concern with something like that is the models poor performance history as we approach Fall...and how if the push of cooler air is a bit stronger then this would be shifted farther southwards towards S MO and S KS...so I don't want to go to crazy yet with adjusting the forecast...but it's certainly something that I'll watch for the next several days as widespread rainfall is something that we could really use.

Today marks the PEAK of the hurricane season. It's been an active one so far as we're now past the N name (Nate) and the AM satellite picture shows 3 named storms out there...with another area being watched...

Interesting to note that with so many NAMED storms (14) there have only been 2 hurricanes (both major). Last year through today there were 3 and the average since 1966 is 3. Lot's of names not many hurricanes.
That's it for today...thanks for reading!

Joe