Thursday, March 31, 2011

March has certainly not been the greatest around here. We've been stuck with gray skies for quite a few days lately. MT told me that it's been almost 2 weeks since we've seen a day filled with sunshine around these parts, and it certainly feels tat way out there. Today is no exception with highs running some 15 degrees below average and, despite some brief AM sunshine, we're back to the gray again.

Here is a recap of March thus far...I estimated the high for today @ 49 degrees. We'll see if we get there. Click on that image to make it larger.


This is now our 8th straight day of below average temperaturess and for the most part they've been near double digit below. Despite this, through yesterday we were exactly average for the month. Shows you how warm it was there for about a week or so from the 16th-22nd. Let's hope that April is a better month. The latest longer rang progs shows some nice warm days in thefirst week...but another sharp cool down is expected  on Monday-Tuesday AM. the good thing is that everything is moving at a real fast pace so the chills won't be as long, assuming we don't get stuck in a gray stretch again.

We'll actually be in pretty good shape for the next few days. Tomorrow we should pop to the 60s and be in that area on on SAT. A rather impressive storm is going to get it's act together on SUN in the Plains states, fueled at the surface by an increasing temperature contrast from the Dakotas to the Southern Plains states. Take a look at the latest GFS showing the contrast developing...
Those are the 30s in blue and the 90s in the pinkish areas in TX. Now here is the surface map 12 hours later...

This storm comes through sometime MON AM...so we'll dump back intot he colder air on Monday. Before that front gets here on Sunday we may soar into the 80s around here, then on Monday we should be some 30+ cooler. The GFS is about 12 hours slower with the storm, which is possible. So IF we can slow down the storm a bit, we MAY be able to squeak out a milder start MON AM before the colder air arrives.

Usually thoughts turn to severe weather with scenarios like this...right now it's not exactly a great set-up for anything that dramatic for us...perhaps so well of to the east of the region...but the SPC folks are watching the developments in their longer range progs. Keep in mind they base those progs on the overnight data.

Meanwhile, if you love snow...about about 61 feet worth...with another month+ to go to add on to those numbers...it's out in California!

Joe

No comments:

Post a Comment