Thursday, March 17, 2011

Well last weekend I was predicting 76 for today's highs. It turns out I underestimated the potential by a few degrees. We've made it up to 79 (so far @ KCI) and there is the potential for another 1-2 degree pop in the next hour. The record is 82. We shouldn't get there, but despite the gusty winds, it's been a great St Patrick's Day.

DH, MT and I all participated in the HUGE parade in down Broadway in KCMO this afternoon. That was probably the biggest crowd I've seen for one of these parades in many a year. It was packed. A lot of waving to to folks 20+ deep in the crowd. Very impressive and thanks for all the screams if you were down there. We're wind-blown but all had a great time.

The weather is changing over the next 6 hours as a cold front moves through the region. Here is the 3PM map showing the front not too far away now. This will drop our temperatures some 20-30 degrees tomorrow.



The air behind this front is seasonably cool. The average high for this time of the year is 55. So we'll be closer to that for the next couple of days before temperatures warm up again on Sunday.

This front will get down to our south and stall. The moisture will gradually be on the increase to the south of KC tomorrow...here is the NAM dewpoints forecast for the country. You can see the thicker moisture pooling to the south of KC...

Notice that by Sunday that moisture returns northwards...

As this transition occurs, rain will break out through the plains states on Saturday. The timing looks to be more towards SAT PM as opposed to SAT AM...but SAT will be a pretty gray and cool day with highs in the 40s to lower 50s...again here is the NAM portrayal...


The GFS has this rain a bit farther northwards while the EURO has the rain around here and then lingers the chances through SUN AM...

By SUN PM the cold front of today will be retreating northwards as a warm front and the warmer air will spread back into the region to finish the weekend. So depending on the amount of sunshine we get, there is potential of highs warming well through the 60s, if not warmer, to finish the weekend.

Another storm and cold front will sweep into the area sometime TUE...this will again send our temperatures back down through the middle of the week. Overall, very typical March weather around these parts with lots of ups and downs...not snow showing up though. As now I'm finally wondering if that may be the end of the snow season around here. KCI is now up to almost 37"

Have a great TGIF...one of my Sweet 16 teams is already gone (Louisville) and KY is on the ropes.

Joe

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