I put together this graphic the other day and updated it today based on the paltry rainfall that was in the area yesterday. There were some areas that did get a good dousing, especially SE of the metro and also well to the north...but for KC proper it really didn't amount to a whole bunch. Many areas only had enough to dampen the streets and thus it continues to dry out even more...



Today is another picture perfect afternoon, although it is a bit on the breezy side. we're starting to see the winds gust to over 30 MPH...and we may see some wind gusts closer to 35 MPH before the afternoon is done. As expected we're in the lower 70s now...and a cool breezy night is ahead.

Nothing of note is expected to happen around here for the next several days, however over the weekend there will be a cold front moving through by Sunday. Ahead of the front the dry October air will respond to south winds on SAT allowing highs to pop into the middle 70s. It's too bad in a small way, because the warmest air aloft will be overhead Saturday night into Sunday AM...if things were about 12 hours faster, and the warm bubble was overhead during the day on SAT, our highs would surge well into the 80s. Alas though 75-79 will have to do for us...

Sunday will see a cold front barrel through during the AM hours...aloft the air will cool over rather nicely, at the surface through the coolest air may lag a bit behind the front, and with a warm start in the 50s we may be able to pop back into the 70-75 range in the PM.

There is a change to the data that is becoming somewhat interesting. All three of our longer range models are now creating rain here on Monday. It would be associated with a storm off the Pacific coast and more energy up towards Alaska that would move through the northern Rockies and then deepen/intensify on top of the area. Should this play out, and all 3 of our longer range models indicate it will...we may end up with a wet and raw Monday. We're talking highs only in the 40s and 50s with the potential for .25"+ of rainfall. So for the evening shows we're going to insert a chance of rain on Monday.

Whatever happens will happen and blow through, as the storm really intensifies off to the east of here...this will wrap in colder weather and the season's first widespread frost and, for some, a freeze is becoming more likely during the middle of the week. This is about the average time of the year for this as Pleasant hill has pointed out here....Odds right now favor WED AM (19th) as the best chance of this happening.

Dry weather is expected after whatever happens on Monday for the rest of next week.

Joe