Saturday, February 19, 2011

This is going to be a busy weekend tracking the weather. Today is turning into a hum-drum weather day. Just a lot of clouds with a few light showers showing up on radar now. Really not much is expected around the heart of KC for the rest of the day. Temperatures now are in the upper 40s and we'll rise another 1-3 degrees this afternoon. Here is the latest weather map...showing the warm front still south of here...due in later tonight. CLICK ON ALL THE IMAGES TO MAKE THEM LARGER!







As this warm front moves closer tonight, and as winds aloft continue to overrun that front from a south to north direction, some extra shower activity, and perhaps a rumble of thunder is not out of the question from our area northwards...it would not last for all that long. Then the warm front will surge on through and I expect temperatures tonight to actually start to rise towards the wee hours of tomorrow AM. It's possible we may be 55-60 near daybreak tomorrow with the warmer air surging our way.

Tomorrow, despite the cloud cover in the AM, enough breaks in the clouds are expected to allow temperatures to once again soar to the 70-75 range. The record tomorrow is 69 set back in 1996. Very breakable and potentially our 3rd record high this winter. Isn't that strange?

A cold front will then plow through the region tomorrow early evening, crashing our temperatures through tomorrow night into MON AM almost 50 degrees, and when you factor in the wind chill factor MON AM, it'll FEEL some 60 degrees colder!!!!!

This whole weather change is coming about because of a strong storm over the western part of the country. This storm will evolve and intensify at the surface tomorrow in the mid section of the country. In the upper Midwest, where the colder air will be pulled down from Canada, a pretty significant snowstorm is expected will all sorts of Winter Weather headlines being raised up there.

The pinks represent Winter Storm WARNINGS while the blue colors represent Winter Storm Watches. You can get an idea that the I-90 corridor is under the gun.

Here is what the storm looks like now...


Here is the surface map for tomorrow @ Noon...


For the week...it looks like we'll briefly dip into the cold air on Monday...moderate TUE/WED, then dip back into it THU/SAT AM before we moderate again. The "real" cold air may not arrive till FRI or next weekend and then there is the question of whether or not .we get a small chunk of cold that lasts for a day or so or whether we get a true dump of cold air.

Here is an interesting map off the GFS for NEXT Saturday night, showing the surface temperatures, relative to average...notice where the coldest air, relative to average is located, in relation to the rest of the world!



Joe

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